You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Yes he will have to work out a trip and get through the big field, which will require some luck, and closers have not won many Derbys in the last 10 years, but sometimes you cant ignore what is right in front of you, and if you leave him out and he wins you will look back to his sensational :35 2/5 final three-eighths and :11 4/5 final eighth in the Wood Memorial, and his whopping 121 late pace figure on Brisnet and realize too late that he was touting you big-time and you ignored it. Think of him as Antares, one of the four white Arabians in the movie Ben Hur. Expect different tactics this time. Read More, Yes, Virginia, there is still a Derby Dozen, as we have been informed that sponsor Shadwell wants to keep it going right up until the week of the Arkansas Derby, so if anyone has any poems, songs, short stories, or any limericks and one-liners they wish to share, send them in. A weekly show dedicated to handicappers and horse players. Check out America's Best Racing's Triple Crown page to keep up to date with stories and statistics on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. But for now I wouldnt discourage anyone who wants to include him in their exotics. (Coady Photography), Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve, Wood Memorial Stakes Presented by Resorts World Casino, America's Best Racing's Triple Crown page, Curlin Florida Derby Presented by Hill 'n' Dale Farms at Xalapa, Wood Memorial Presented by Resorts World Casino, Churchill Downs final Kentucky Derby Future Wager pool. Xbtv.com video shows both horses being noticeably warm in the South Florida weather. I am saving my two huge longshots for last, although Im not sure just how big a longshot Crown Pride is going to be. But it was a big step up for him and he still was good enough to finish second to White Abarrio, beaten only 1 lengths, despite hitting the side of the gate at the break. Other horses I have a close eye on and are one good effort away from cracking the Dozen are Springboard Mile runner-up ANSWER IN, who turned in a sharp five-furlong work in :59 2/5 at Oaklawn Park; the highly touted HONOR A.P., who breezed five furlongs in 1:02 2/5 at Santa Anita; and impressive maiden winner MAJOR FED, who worked five furlongs . The tamale is whatever since it's probably store bought and mine was a little hard around the edges but the rest of our plates were amazing! He then galloped out another eighth in :12 2/5 covering the six furlongs in 1:12 4/5 and pulling up seven furlongs in a strong 1:26 2/5. He still showed a good turn of foot sweeping by horses on the far turn to reach contention. That recent victory at a mile, coupled with a route pedigree and a 2-for-3 overall record, suggests he should fare well in future two-turn attempts. on Monday, May 2nd, 2022 at 8:53 am and is filed under Derby Rankings. He is maturing physically, and being by Tiznow, his most powerful weapon appears to be tenacity and the ability to not let horses get by him in the stretch. As you will see, I am not taking the conventional path when it comes to who reigns atop the Rankings. Does that sound like a Todd Pletcher-trained horse to you? After talking it over with the Juddmonte brass they are going to throw the race out and if he continues to train well he will run in the Derby. He looked good at Tampa Bay Downs, but this is a different story, and we know trainer Brian Lynch was not keen on this path. I will analyze everything over the next few days, including post positions, and post my handicapping column on Thursday. (Eclipse Sportswire) Copyright 20042023 Yelp Inc. Yelp, , and related marks are registered trademarks of Yelp. Though his lead diminished in the final furlong, from 4 to 2 lengths, he was confidently handled by Joel Rosario to defeat Zandon and Smile Happy in their kickoff races of the season. Concert Tour (Bob Baffert, Street Sense Purse Strings, by Tapit) Check outAmerica's Best Racing's Triple Crown pageto keep up to date with stories and statistics on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Read More. This is not the year to be boring. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: Three Heating Up, Three Cooling Down for Jan. 12 Racing January 12th, 2022 by Mike Curry Simplification, with Javier Castellano up, won the Mucho Macho Stakes by four lengths at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 1. As I concluded in last weeks comment, He could be special and we very well may be seeing a huge breakout performance on Saturday. That we did. As Aaron Rodgers spelled out a few years ago after the Green Bay Packers lost several games: R-E-L-A-X. There is a reason he was ranked No. The first Derby Dozen for 2020 finds Dennis' Moment on top. He is reminiscent of American Pharoah, who was a confirmed frontrunner until his final prep in the Arkansas Derby. Dont ask me what to make of this horse or this race, but one thing is certain and that is he has an amazing pedigree with a ton of class and stamina, and his sire and broodmare sire are remembered for scoring two of the most impressive Preakness victories weve seen in a long time. Todd Pletcher gave him a still five-furlong move in 1:00 1/5 at Palm Meadows this past weekend as he tightens the screws. 4. Like with Smile Happy he was passed in the stretch in his final Derby prep, and by a stablemate who had only one six-furlong maiden race under him. Sign up for our free weekly email newsletters and alerts, filled with race previews and results, news of the week, or breaking news. Despite rallying from last place, Trakus statistics noted he raced only four feet wider than Early Voting, who ran uncontested on the lead after favored Morello blew the break. Secretariat.com 2023. State: Remember, all his previous starts had come in sprints so he should be stronger with that race under him. 2 thumbs up. PIONEER OF MEDINA is another who is going to win his share of big races and hes been running well against top company, mainly Zandon, Epicenter, Smile Happy, and Zozos. BloodHorse news editor Byron King presents his latest Derby Dozen for 2022, with a look at his leading contenders for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve on May 7. But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top A class test awaits in stakes company for his next start, likely in the Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth Stakes March 5 at Gulfstream Park. In the 22 years Ive been doing Derby Dozen and Derby Rankings I have never had a tougher time deciding who to put No. Panadol, who was a late Triple Crown nominee, would be the natural pacesetter. Mendelssohn entered the 2018 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 5 as the 6.80-1 third choice in the parimutuel betting. We can just envision the list of Derby winners that bore the name of Calumet Farm: Citation, Whirlaway, Iron Liege, Tim Tam, Bourbonic. Triple Crown Winners, 2023 Santa Anita Handicap Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses, Mike Repole Chats Racing Friends Becoming Family, Champion Forte's Return, Winning Belmont Stakes, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories. It would have to be him, as his wire-to-wire victory in the LeComte Stakes has been long forgotten by most people and in his last two starts racing just off the pace he didnt have the closing kick to get the job done. 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Despite the Derby Day assault by the Baffert Brigade, he holds on to the No. He will move on to bigger and better things. If that is the case, what is going to happen when he stretches out to a mile and a quarter? Reviews on Tamales by the Dozen in Rowland Heights, CA 91748 - Taqueria Arbol Del Tule (199 Reviews), Cortez Brothers Mexican Food (185 Reviews), Panaderia La Mexicana (53 Reviews), Tamaleman Delivers (2 Reviews), La Ranchera Mexican Food (219 Reviews), Mikasa (257 Reviews), Cha Cha's Latin Kitchen (3962 Reviews), Birrieria La Suprema (125 Reviews), Las Champas (103 Reviews), El Torito Grill . When they really let him open up in a work he went his half in an eye-catching :46 2/5, but was never being urged. Read More, We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. Read More, The first Derby Dozen for 2020 finds Dennis' Moment on top. 1972 Horse of the Year A Prelude to Greatness, The Forgotten Horse Who Nearly Saved The Meadow, Memories, Big Red, and Two Kids from Brooklyn, 2022 Kentucky Derby Handicapping Analysis. Whenever stakes are carded, such as this years version of the Belmont Stakes (G1), he will be ready, having remained in steady training, breezing five furlongs in Tiz the Law remains on top of the Derby Dozen, as much of his competition prepares for the divisions of the Arkansas Derby. I don't know your area anymore. CROWDED TRADE and WEYBURN ran OK, but below expectations. BloodHorse news editor Byron King presents his latest Derby Dozen for 2022, with a look at his leading contenders for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve on May 7. You can bet hes going to get a faster Thoro-Graph number than the winner in the Wood Memorial, which he appeared to have won, but just got nipped on the wire after losing a lot of ground on the first turn and racing wide throughout. Thats correct, none. He went into the Wood Memorial a fresh horse off a two-month layoff and now is fit and sharp and ready for a career-best effort. What I dont understand is all the panicking over one defeat. Hot Rod Charlie (Doug ONeill, Oxbow Ind1an Miss, by Indian Charlie) 1 spot as we head into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the Matt Winn Stakes (G3) May 23. It was tough dropping him to No. Because of his issues over the winter, they took it easy with him, and Corey Lanerie just sat on him around the far turn and basically lost any chance of winning. The sheikh who owns him acknowledges hes not as fast as the other three, but he will run all day without tiring. It is time for a resurgence of stamina on the first Saturday in May and this is the guy to do it. But at this stage of his career he looks to be more of a one-paced grinder who just keeps coming. Following a workmanlike maiden win at Fair Grounds, he took an allowance optional claiming race by 10 lengths at Oaklawn Park before his promising stakes debut in the Louisiana Derby. Though he was overlooked a bit at 6-1 odds in the Holy Bull, he won't slip past anyone in the Florida Derby. Final 2022 Derby Rankings This obviously is the final Derby Rankings and we're reverting back to our old ways with a Derby Dozen to focus on our main win candidates. It was his mechanics that drew me to him in those first two starts, and I was surprised how greenly he ran in the Florida Derby. He also has improved dramatically with blinkers. Those looking for a live longshot to throw into their exotics in the Derby may want to consider this colt. That sapped the Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth Stakes victor of some of his late strength. Saturday, the next Derby prep is on tap at Oaklawn Parkas the $1 million Rebel Stakes offers50 qualifying points to the winner, 20 to the runner-up, 10 to the third-place finisher, and 5 to fourth. But how hes going to win is another matter. But all the credit goes to my man. Everyone agrees he has looked like a freak in his two starts and clearly is the fastest horse in the field. In his three-furlong work in :34 2/5 at Gulfstream Park he showed off his athleticism by hugging the rail and cutting the corner beautifully turning for home and galloping out . Horses compete in the 2022 Robert B. Lewis Stakes earlier this month. I dont know whether hes good enough to win or has beaten horses of the caliber he will face in the Derby, but I do know its tough to leave him out of the exotics. I dont like seeing horses passed in the stretch in their final Derby prep, but he did the dirty work in a race that was meant to just get him fit and move forward. There were three qualifying points preps for the Kentucky Derby last weekend: the Wood Memorial Stakes Presented by Resorts World Casino, the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes, and the Runhappy Santa Anita Derby. Who knows who is going to set the pace in the Derby? By using this website you agree. The final race in the Road to the Kentucky Derby prep series the Stonestreet Lexington Stakes is set for Saturday, April 16. The usual list of horses who have already established themselves and a separate list in Knocking on the Door comprised of late developers who have only competed in maiden and allowance races and have not yet faced stakes We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. Sure, ZOZOS is very talented horse who can carry his speed a long way, especially for a son of Munnings, but again we have a horse with only three starts, and I feel his best races are down the road. HIDDEN STASH with 32 points continues to run well, but not quite well enough, and the same can be said of ROMBAUER with 34 points, although it was a surprise to see him so close to the lead in the Blue Grass. All very delicious. Watching him work an effortless five furlongs in 1:00 2/5 with such long fluid strides you can understand all the praise hes been receiving. The buzz surrounding him keeps growing with every gallop and workout, and with all the rave reviews there is now a good chance he will go off as favorite, but it still should be close with Epicenter, who has been training at Churchill Downs now for several weeks. Four horses definitely in the Derby if their connections wish to go are REBELS ROMANCE and PANADOL, one-two in the UAE Derby, and LIKE THE KING and SAINTHOOD, one-two in the Jeff Ruby Steaks. Physically, he is a beast and hes doing things ordinary horses just dont do. The usual list of horses who have already established themselves and a separate list in Knocking on the Door comprised of late developers who have only competed in maiden and allowance races and have not yet faced stakes We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. 99 Ranch Market Rowland Heights - Mandarin Plaza 1015, S Nogales St, Rowland Heights, CA 91748. Eased off the pace that day after entering the first turn in a contending position, he ended up getting hung up in traffic and then finished evenly to run behind Smile Happy and Classic Causeway. It was the second time in three routes he has been outfinished. This not a horse who needs the lead and I am looking forward to seeing how he runs sitting off the pace, just as I was when American Pharoah ran in the Arkansas Derby and showed he was capable of winning that way. Its as if he uses lead changes to find another gear. He has caught the eye of a lot of people. I just dont know if hes quite there yet. 10 Charge It (Todd Pletcher, Tapit Ill Take Charge, by Indian Charlie). That those fractions took nothing out of him and he galloped out in another area code tells you all you need to know about this colt. Instead of being inches apart with Essential Quality unable to get by him, they were now several paths apart with Essential Quality no longer having to look him in the eye. Other three, but below expectations I will analyze everything over the next few days, including post,! Him work an effortless five furlongs in 1:00 1/5 at Palm Meadows this past weekend as tightens. 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