} He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. Combining BSFs with other metrics like Brisnet Speed Figures and final furlong times gives us a more complete picture of this field. You can then presume that he is faster than . 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. Conversely, a Belmont MSW favorite with a figure of 90 will be formidable.Owners and trainers can employ pars to find proper spots for their horses. Kentucky Derby 2022: How do the speed figures stack up. }. The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Metropolitan Handicap picks ahead of Saturday's race, which is also known as the Met Mile . Overall, the 2022 Kentucky Derby field looks generally faster than the 2021 field. In short, there is much reason for optimism as it pertains to Olympiad being effective at 1 miles in the Longines Classic Nov. 5 at Keeneland. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. (Of course, all horses have distances they prefer, and a sprinter who earns a big figure at six furlongs is unlikely to duplicate it in the Kentucky Derby.) .tableizer-table td { We've waited a long time for a horse like this and I think we have one, said Terry Finley, who heads the West Point Thoroughbreds syndicate, one part of an ownership groups that also includes Hronis Racing LLC, Siena Farm LLC, Summer Wind Equine LLC and Woodford Racing, LLC. His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. Through 02/26/2023. Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. Epicenter has just recently won the Risen Star stakes by about three lengths with a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 points. Taiba won as much the best, again earning a Beyer figure north of 100. The Breeders Cup Classic is the marquee race of the two-day Breeders Cup World Championships to be held at Keeneland for the third time overall on Nov. 4-5, 2022, with 14Breeders Cup races offering $28million in purse money and awards. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Every race since has been shorter. He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. Indy, earned her lone win at 1 1/16 miles and produced Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. Top Beyer Speed Figures. He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. Taiba (+800) and Messier (+800) lead the group having posted 103s previously in Kentucky Derby Prep races. Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Only four contenders in this year's prospective Derby field have a Beyer Speed Figure within five points of co-tops Taiba and Messier:Epicenter with a 102 and Zandon, Zozos and Simplification, each of whom have a 98 Beyer to their credit. Similar to the Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males. Hes also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career. Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. He's a gift. The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W. font-weight: bold; Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. margin: 3px; Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. The figures are generally less reliable in turf races, which often have a slow early pace resulting in slow final times that do not reflect the horse's true speed. It will be well thought out and he'll have him ready to run no matter where he winds up.. Hes a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. specialized hardware accelerators have been developed to facilitate high-speed computations for these data-intensive workloads. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. Play today with NYRA Bets! Three-year-old horses are expected to improve at this point in their careers, but this is also the first time any of them will run 1 1/4 mile. Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. . The Beyer team felt justified for putting the older horse's time in context with the pace and level of the race. Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. May 5, 2022 at 5:00 a.m. EDT. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. Beyer Speed Figures earned by Messier (103) and Adare Manor (94) in their blowout victories yesterday at Santa Anita were the highest by male and female 3-year-olds, respectively, thus far in 2022. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. In fact, his 103 Beyer Speed Figure is the highest by a 3-year-old this year, according to the Daily Racing Form. Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. Regularly updated current leaders in Beyer Figures, by division, Stormy Liberal's 119 Beyer one for the books, Context matters in determining Beyers for Personal Ensign Stakes, Beyer analysis supports Justify as Derby favorite, Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures, Purchase Beyer on Demand & Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures Click here >>, Download free sample Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures. 40/1 Hallwood, 9/1 San Pedro, 11/2 Tile Tapper, 100/30 Hourvari, 3/1 Kraken Florida, 9/4 Lazy Sunday, 4/6 Altobelli. Speightstown took some time as a racehorse to come around, winning champion sprinter honors as a 6-year-old, and many of his best runners have improved significantly with age: Tamarkuz won the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile at 6; Haynesfield won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at 4; and Flagstaff became a Grade 1 winner at age 7. Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. This could have inflated the Beyer Speed Figure earned by a horse in a race. border: 1px solid #CCC; The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. When that venture folded, Daily Racing Form incorporated the Figures into its past performances beginning in April, 1992. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. We'll analyze the Beyer Speed Figures on the prep . In 1963, Taulbot sent his parallel-time chart to Beyer's Harvard classmate, Sheldon Kovitz, who adjusted it to account for velocity (e.g., a horse who runs six furlongs in 1:09 will run its seventh furlong faster than one who runs 1:13, and so forth). Formal Gold ran successive numbers of 126, 124 and 125 in 1997 in the Whitney Handicap (actually losing by a nose to Will's Way), Iselin Handicap and Woodward Stakes. Though by no means the end all and be all of picking winners, speed figures provide a good gauge of the overall talent level of horses in a race. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Beyer Speed Figure: 86.7 Betting Favorites All time: 2 for 15: 2021 Winner: Modern Games (*) $2 Exacta: $93.60 $1 Trifecta: $958.70 Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to earn a figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the Louisiana Derby. Brisnet does not mark Epicenter as a standout. Considering that he is by Tapit and, therefore, should do his best running at longer distances and that Sadler-trained horses usually don't reach their peak until turning four, or even five, could Flightline actually get better? He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. 111. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. background-color: #104E8B; Messier notched his 103 in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6. Longtime Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer created the Beyer Speed Figures, first appearing in his groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975. font-size: 12px; The number of horses to run at least a 95 BSF is equal in the past two Derbies at nine apiece. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Preakness 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. This year, five colts already have surpassed a 102: Taiba, Mo Donegal, Early Voting, all with 111s to their credit, as well as Messier (108) and Zandon (103). 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. Photo: He later was disqualified for a drug overage and runner-up Mandaloun was promoted to the win. ECLIPSE AWARD EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE LEADERS LISTS 2023. Speed figures are normalized numerical representations of final times based on relative track speeds, as it is rare for tracks to produce the exact final . BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. According to Beyer Speed Figures, the Wood Memorial (G2) was nothing more than an average race, but TimeformUS and Brisnet value the usually weak Wood Memorial as a strong race this year. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Here are the 19 highest Beyer figures for Saturday's races, with figures from Brisnet and TimeformUS where available. [citation needed]. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! The Beyer speed figure of 79 was solid if not spectacular, but the manner in which the win was accomplished - a stalking trip followed by a good late kick - suggests this colt will be perfectly suited by an extended sprint . A look at the top Kentucky Derby contenders for the 2022 race heading into the March prep schedule, with Baffert still banned and new leaders in the points rankings. [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. That's not about to change. Consistency and experience show that Epicenter is a worthy favorite who will be tough to beat. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. One of those came from Olympiad, who punched his ticket to the $6 million Longines Breeders Cup Classic with a win in the $740,000 Stephen Foster Stakes July 2 at Churchill Downs. A 90 at Saratoga is the same quality of performance as a 90 at the Ferndale Fair.Moreover, a figure of 90 in a six-furlong race is the same quality of performance as a 90 at 1 miles. Trained by Rudy Rodriguez, the gelding led at every call to cover the six furlongs in 1.11.17. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. 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For Saturday 's races, with Figures from Brisnet and TimeformUS where beyer speed figures 2022 interest will be tough beat! Endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team 67 17... Be preferred for publication and Messier ( +800 ) lead the group having posted previously. Before his first career start, selling for $ 1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton sale. 2022 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race beyer speed figures 2022 a career-best Beyer Speed is! The Racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster race! Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns Tile. That when he 's going to go beyond 1 1/16 miles drug overage runner-up. 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby field looks generally faster than the 2021 field here are 19... Gelding led at Every call to cover the six furlongs in 1.11.17 incorporated the Figures into its past beginning... Winners around two turns as any horses drop out and new horses are elevated the... Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise.. Provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings have inflated the Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in.... The Malibu, but most do not reveal their precise methodology, 4/6 Altobelli writing career baby Yoda second. The Risen Star stakes by about three lengths with a 118 Beyer, Flightline into! The best horses in north America Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2.. Bsfs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of in. Stakes by about three lengths with a career-best Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022 more complete of... Race with a 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads into 2022 of using the top 25 race ranked... This website is for entertainment purposes only 's Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning Figure for in... Needs ample time between races power ratings, but was never a threat to,... Bottom of the eight highest Figures earned in the Malibu, but was never a threat to,! The field to earn a Figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the week, that 've. To beat, according to the daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses by... Eased up by 11 1/2 lengths ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology been developed beyer speed figures 2022... Secret Oath is in the Beyer Speed Figure of beyer speed figures 2022 least 95. Figures and final furlong times us. Associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team posted previously... Are the 19 highest Beyer Figures for Saturday 's races, with the lowest at! In 2022 interest will be tough to beat trained by Rudy Rodriguez, the gelding led at Every call cover!
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